Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#60
Expected Predictive Rating+7.2#72
Pace67.3#175
Improvement+5.4#21

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#25
Improvement+2.0#66

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#166
Improvement+3.4#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round25.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 175   Western Michigan W 82-76 86%     1 - 0 +2.1 -0.1 +1.8
  Nov 14, 2011 56   @ Minnesota L 55-71 36%     1 - 1 -4.5 -11.0 +6.2
  Nov 16, 2011 105   @ Georgia L 61-72 50%     1 - 2 -3.1 -1.3 -2.9
  Nov 21, 2011 244   Niagara W 79-71 88%     2 - 2 +3.2 -6.3 +8.7
  Nov 22, 2011 270   Sam Houston St. W 77-60 90%     3 - 2 +10.8 +5.4 +5.2
  Nov 23, 2011 115   @ Mercer W 74-61 53%     4 - 2 +20.1 +3.8 +15.9
  Nov 26, 2011 142   @ Nebraska L 64-76 59%     4 - 3 -6.6 -6.8 +0.2
  Dec 01, 2011 194   @ IUPUI W 97-93 OT 72%     5 - 3 1 - 0 +5.6 +3.0 +1.9
  Dec 03, 2011 179   @ Western Illinois W 67-66 69%     6 - 3 2 - 0 +3.7 +7.1 -3.3
  Dec 10, 2011 272   North Dakota W 92-54 94%     7 - 3 +28.2 +16.6 +11.7
  Dec 15, 2011 272   @ North Dakota L 70-89 84%     7 - 4 -22.0 -5.4 -15.7
  Dec 18, 2011 67   @ Washington W 92-73 39%     8 - 4 +29.6 +30.7 +0.3
  Dec 28, 2011 269   Purdue Fort Wayne W 94-58 94%     9 - 4 3 - 0 +26.4 +19.0 +8.5
  Dec 30, 2011 153   Oakland W 76-64 83%     10 - 4 4 - 0 +9.8 +3.1 +7.9
  Jan 05, 2012 232   @ Southern Utah W 75-68 78%     11 - 4 5 - 0 +6.5 +3.5 +3.0
  Jan 07, 2012 87   @ Oral Roberts L 75-97 45%     11 - 5 5 - 1 -12.9 +10.3 -25.2
  Jan 12, 2012 278   South Dakota W 86-56 94%     12 - 5 6 - 1 +19.7 +1.1 +16.7
  Jan 14, 2012 283   UMKC W 85-58 94%     13 - 5 7 - 1 +16.5 +5.6 +10.9
  Jan 21, 2012 164   @ North Dakota St. W 91-88 OT 66%     14 - 5 8 - 1 +6.6 +7.3 -1.0
  Jan 26, 2012 153   @ Oakland L 87-92 62%     14 - 6 8 - 2 -0.4 +5.5 -5.8
  Jan 28, 2012 269   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-43 84%     15 - 6 9 - 2 +28.2 -3.4 +30.3
  Feb 02, 2012 87   Oral Roberts W 75-60 70%     16 - 6 10 - 2 +17.3 +12.2 +7.6
  Feb 04, 2012 232   Southern Utah W 66-56 91%     17 - 6 11 - 2 +2.7 +1.9 +2.5
  Feb 09, 2012 278   @ South Dakota L 68-72 85%     17 - 7 11 - 3 -7.5 -4.3 -3.4
  Feb 11, 2012 283   @ UMKC W 75-62 86%     18 - 7 12 - 3 +9.4 +4.8 +5.6
  Feb 15, 2012 164   North Dakota St. W 80-57 85%     19 - 7 13 - 3 +19.8 +14.6 +8.4
  Feb 18, 2012 103   Buffalo W 86-65 73%     20 - 7 +22.3 +13.5 +8.7
  Feb 23, 2012 179   Western Illinois W 74-57 87%     21 - 7 14 - 3 +12.9 +15.2 +0.5
  Feb 25, 2012 194   IUPUI W 75-64 88%     22 - 7 15 - 3 +5.8 +9.0 -1.2
  Mar 03, 2012 194   IUPUI W 77-56 82%     23 - 7 +19.2 +7.8 +13.8
  Mar 05, 2012 232   Southern Utah W 63-47 OT 86%     24 - 7 +12.1 +4.5 +11.4
  Mar 06, 2012 179   Western Illinois W 52-50 OT 79%     25 - 7 +1.3 -9.5 +11.1
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.8 0.1 1.7 22.7 70.3 5.1
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.1 1.7 22.7 70.3 5.1